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grizzly
84712.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 3:45 am Reply with quote

Perhaps it was too hot?!?!

 
dr.bob
84732.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 4:39 am Reply with quote

grizzly wrote:
In this case there is only one other person (Ameena). Therefore the probability of Ameena sharing the same birthday is 1 in 365.

If you were to ask, what is the probability that someone else on the forum shares the same birthday then the probability will be 100%.


Depends on the question. If you're asking "what are the odds that two people on this forum share the same birthday?", then the odds are 100%. However, if you were asking "what are the odds that someone on this forum shares the same birthday as swot?", then the answer is actually 98.25669% (based on the 1,476 subscribers listed on the memberlist).

suze wrote:
Seven of the eleven most common dates of birth in that year fell in September.......Otherwise, July and August seem to be common birth months.


Quite so. There's a nice wee graph on this page:

http://scienceworld.wolfram.com/astronomy/LeapDay.html

which shows that quite clearly (using data on births in the US between 1978 and 1987). It also shows that January is the least common month for births.

suze wrote:
April appears to be the month when people don't get born


Yeah, on the above website April is second only to January. Oh well, I've never liked following convention anyway!

April 8th if anyone wants to buy me a present

 
Flash
84740.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:01 am Reply with quote

Since we're being picky with our probability theory, I think that 98.25669% is the probability, rather than the odds, isn't it? The odds would be 98.25669 : 1.74331.

 
dr.bob
84747.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:13 am Reply with quote

Well, if we're being really picky, the probability is actually 0.9825669 :)

Though I graciously accept my erroneous use of the word "odds" there. They are as you have accurately indicated.

 
Flash
84753.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:26 am Reply with quote

Ta. What were the chances of my getting that one right, eh?

 
grizzly
84759.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:54 am Reply with quote

You all had to take it just that little bit too far didn't you?

 
Celebaelin
84765.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:23 am Reply with quote

Well, no-ones done a Chi-squared by date for 1978 yet (I think that's a readily do-able 'list' test isn't it?) I'd prefer a Standard Deviation by month but that would require something resembling work.

 
grizzly
84768.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:49 am Reply with quote

Can't you do standard deviation in excel?

I used to have a calculator where you could put all the figures in and find out the standard deviation.

 
samivel
84776.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:48 am Reply with quote

Celebaelin wrote:
Well, no-ones done a Chi-squared by date for 1978 yet (I think that's a readily do-able 'list' test isn't it?) I'd prefer a Standard Deviation by month but that would require something resembling work.



I refuse to have anything to do with something resembling work.

 
Ameena
84785.  Wed Aug 09, 2006 8:37 am Reply with quote

Omg I feel like I'm back in Psychology again...please don't ask me to list the names of all those bloody test things...arrgh numbers...eeww...

 
Tas
91972.  Fri Sep 08, 2006 12:16 pm Reply with quote

Quote:
Quote:
What are odds?


1 in 365.


Not 1:365 multiplied by 1:365?

:-)

Tas

 
Jenny
92296.  Sat Sep 09, 2006 5:00 pm Reply with quote

Incidentally, if QI were going to try and get an American version of the show going, as distinct from (or possibly as well as) getting the British version on our screens, you might note that Jay Leno's contract with the Tonight show is up in 2008 and that he might actually make a rather good host if you could afford him. The actor who played Frasier might be another good one.

Anybody got any other notions for an American host for an American version?

 
cabs
92298.  Sat Sep 09, 2006 5:04 pm Reply with quote

Jenny wrote:
Anybody got any other notions for an American host for an American version?



Big Bird? Pretty much the American version of Steven Fry, mutatis mutandis. Cheerful, accessible to the top 60% of the native population and very, very tall.

 
grizzly
92302.  Sat Sep 09, 2006 5:30 pm Reply with quote

Ultimately the show is all about the casting. They'll have to work really hard to get the cast right or the show would flop.

Kelsey Grammar (sp?) sounds like an excellent version of Fry for the show but since he's already doing Hollywood he might be a very hard guy to get.

Not sure who would replace Alan Davies.

Has a comedy panel show ever successfully exported to the US?

 
swot
92390.  Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:51 am Reply with quote

I'm not sure about panel shows, but TW3 did quite well over there, as did The Office and Whose line..?. The same people made the shows as far as I know, so this could explain their success. Drew Carrey(sp?) isn't half as good as Clive Anderson though, so I'm not sure QI would work with an American Fry replacement.

 

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