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Dangerous Sports

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59635.  Tue Mar 14, 2006 6:36 am Reply with quote

Mentioned yesterday: The Duckworth Scale measures the riskiness of activities:

A retired statistician has invented a new scale for assessing the risks involved in various activities and has arrived at some interesting conclusions.

Dr Frank Duckworth, who already has a method for scoring in cricket named after him (the Duckworth/Lewis method), and devised the International Nuclear Event Scale (INES), presented a paper entitled "A Simple Scale of Risk to the Public" to the Royal Statistical Society (RSS) recently.

The scale which is logarithmic, like the Richter scale for earthquakes, grades one's risk of death from activities ranging from washing up to playing Russian Roulette. It starts at zero for living on planet earth for a year, to a maximum of eight for certain death (by playing Russian Roulette with six bullets or jumping off the Eiffel Tower).

The scale has produced some surprising statistics - smoking 40 cigarettes a day for a 35 year old male (7.1 on the scale) is almost as dangerous as playing Russian Roulette with one bullet (7.2).

From The Sum, July 2000. Described as "another Sum exclusive", even though this is issue number 1.

59636.  Tue Mar 14, 2006 6:38 am Reply with quote

The Duckworth Scale

8.0 Suicide Russian roulette (six bullets)
Jumping off Eiffel Tower
Lying in front of Flying Scotsman

7.2 Russian Roulette (one game)

7.1 Continuing smoking cigarettes
(male aged 35 - 40 a day)

6.9 Continuing smoking cigarettes
(male aged 35 - 20 a day)

6.7 Continuing smoking cigarettes (male aged 35 - 10 a day)

6.4 Deep sea fishing (40 year career)

6.3 Rock climbing over 20 years

5.5 Accidental falls (new born male)

5.5 Lifetime car travel (new born male)
Dying while vacuuming, washing up, walking down the street

4.6 Murder (new born male)

4.2 Rock climbing (one session)

1.9 100 mile car journey (sober middle aged driver)

1.7 100 mile flight

1.6 Destructive asteroid impact (in the life-time of a new born male)

0.3 100 mile rail journey

Source: The Guardian

73690.  Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:49 am Reply with quote

It says in the current FT (#211) that Lahore has now banned kite-flying altogether, even during Basant. The sources cited for this statement are Australian newspapers (Sydney Morning Herald, 13 March and The Australian, 14 March), and the report also contains an assertion that the 'real concern' isn't safety but Muslim and nationalist opposition to what is a pre-Muslim and Indian custom.

I know nothing about this other than what I read in these newspaper reports, but I must say that they have a general air of being written by people who are interpreting 2nd-hand information. For example, the only justification offered for the assertion about it not really being a Health & Safety issue is that they could just ban the glass-encrusted string and that would make everything safe - whereas those of us who have been following this thread know (or think we know) that most of the accidents are caused by people falling off rooftops, running in front of cars, and snagging power lines. So I may have to go to Lahore to really nail this one down.

769210.  Thu Dec 23, 2010 7:43 am Reply with quote

Frederick The Monk wrote:
Wait a minute, this looks dangerous - Elevator surfing!

Just the sound of it makes it definitely dangerous!

769422.  Fri Dec 24, 2010 2:37 am Reply with quote

Welcome to QI Forum jeorge


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